Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 96651.182740 101874.030928 107090.813306 112689.015742 118522.858213 124419.475079 130826.415128
2025-06-22 88538.158626 96576.750157 104825.137312 113910.609055 123626.186272 133693.146543 144901.634968
2025-06-29 82082.673839 92010.992969 102417.770071 114117.214908 126880.764335 140359.970311 155648.251379
2025-07-06 76971.757258 88291.135560 100370.198872 114182.579394 129502.089253 145934.584610 164855.199141
2025-07-13 73976.950092 86552.293260 100178.792802 115987.587928 133767.391928 153089.623883 175618.244930
2025-07-20 71316.770482 84945.013791 99917.433447 117513.728314 137550.482176 159578.131907 185545.637393
2025-07-27 68627.817798 83111.971699 99229.281004 118398.024667 140474.295122 165000.571520 194203.880824
2025-08-03 65779.432805 80929.497007 97992.872077 118515.614319 142403.685188 169204.119698 201412.422788
2025-08-10 63382.700598 79144.694711 97099.345687 118920.737071 144571.724259 173611.308263 208809.077664
2025-08-17 61018.836910 77284.867104 96015.593466 119007.892669 146288.926091 177438.754562 215498.098356
2025-08-24 59510.928610 76371.059817 95980.515540 120271.934975 149341.047417 182791.045924 223958.421813
2025-08-31 57389.159852 74625.723272 94874.304701 120186.609183 150734.893894 186157.956141 230066.786488
2025-09-07 56301.185696 74121.992632 95253.516867 121894.343531 154299.524726 192143.564921 239363.850347
2025-09-14 54882.083172 73155.302737 95026.840968 122834.373894 156923.471768 197014.659684 247365.381148
2025-09-21 53151.124639 71734.730752 94186.842383 122973.678182 158537.544292 200654.848881 253890.767118
2025-09-28 51482.670814 70332.945023 93315.964203 123025.294449 160004.849362 204093.277002 260165.735088
2025-10-05 50807.259707 70165.036818 93958.698247 124938.974322 163755.928289 210308.327255 269835.578325
2025-10-12 50038.871058 69844.157791 94382.418209 126559.184277 167136.090356 216079.067158 278992.852510
2025-10-19 49003.184510 69138.491573 94286.535992 127498.194566 169651.401470 220787.632725 286865.555849
2025-10-26 47656.480731 67982.202894 93576.638027 127623.035818 171119.360831 224191.152224 293132.875718
2025-11-02 46509.575693 67053.728806 93127.705961 128053.275124 172952.753077 228039.660667 299958.955569
2025-11-09 45272.119740 65967.090551 92440.048234 128145.831924 174334.443915 231313.566796 306073.033547
2025-11-16 44615.973682 65640.288579 92726.709194 129488.156124 177308.765680 236591.014651 314718.159210